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虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。& F! _; s8 s* J9 b4 T
+ ~4 b0 K, e4 a: J8 x+ E4 EGM Overview
; R* o( v5 o# O' s• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs: l) b0 s# [5 \: x4 g2 O# ]; ^, q, ?
• Objectives
# z. k. T+ [3 D- v6 L5 Y0 N/ X– What do we “WANT” to do?
6 @1 P7 N+ ?8 p• External Analysis
2 a. ]% e: ~) _* G$ Z4 f5 @– What do we “NEED” to do?
6 F0 [7 B$ E) {# f– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade5 x$ X7 {& Z3 ^2 T) z
• opportunities & threats
) Q4 h7 i/ m. E% j# q) L– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs
( [! d' P# m" H- @• Internal Analysis
0 o; n1 Z- g- a# O– What “CAN” we do?
! }, z; }5 T4 I– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
# \$ U# }5 n: f+ i: o" O• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
* G7 {0 S# b3 |" x. y- W8 T! M0 H, n– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
) N: s S# E& |, g! Z
. T, x' {$ y K1 D" j4 [• Alternative Evaluation
X3 a3 w( x1 G) T- t– What are the options?
8 E B* ~' C- k5 E3 Z+ z9 k* b– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
- ?+ A! v9 _( ^- d– How does this option “FIT”? |( q! i5 z8 e0 G4 h# _0 s8 Y7 w
– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)
; L+ ^0 z* K/ {! g7 ^" |! L– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) : p% q4 E9 {4 \6 `! G
( f6 }7 x2 F+ c. Y. i( h• Decision( G: q& Q+ @/ b3 ^0 D" D d
– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).2 L$ g. N z7 c( z& A
– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING
5 [( R" h: F0 u7 ]# e% l/ A• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?" b2 }5 t# x9 C- N
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?5 g) P7 M: ]4 O
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?: v/ L. Q m! _
• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
/ o! ^( E. v7 ]& O( c• Why NOT the other options?
& L& Q5 V- i& a2 ^" k8 u& g/ O: n• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes2 Q* o4 s% f1 A B1 l
need to be made?
6 r! Z" s, }% \/ k, R+ f4 I" ?" d" n
• Action Plan1 Q/ }3 U4 r: S- q
• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;
' g; ^" ]) p/ ]* q3 x: {! N$ _3 |– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your# e4 Z' D) t. K V& f2 Y
decision) A& e+ }: N/ f7 k- N7 ? p
– details about timing
+ j# g, ]. C. N* J. c. E" L+ _– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’
9 F3 ]1 R4 }" S1 n7 h5 w2 [– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)
' t( `2 E/ f* U* Y' i9 z8 x– make sure to consider both the short term and long term
) D6 ]+ H7 ]: e4 d' _5 s
9 Y( s: c6 X) J" o6 r8 ?( o$ bFirm Valuation/ }, [0 i2 y1 l( v
• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.9 |7 K |: k; K
• 3 methods of valuing a firm;
) F/ @6 x9 s8 b" e% h+ J– Net Book Value
# u! Y/ u9 C& e' H0 P* I( z– Economic Appraisal9 W0 b+ {7 N7 e
– Capitalization of Earnings/ E5 q0 N& E* g4 j/ T; K1 A* n
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
7 n& K5 s& N. X1 `+ Zcompany is worth., s6 V$ m& |, ]9 x, i3 v
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???. Y+ k3 W1 t1 q/ Y, O6 t
6 @8 Z: w: `' K
Net Book Value (NBV)
+ h f5 G6 p7 s! {/ {2 X, q7 B/ B* G– Total Assets - Total Liabilities
9 {+ V/ K5 U" y- K) E5 f$ D• a.k.a.. the equity
1 b& `5 h, \% o }, j, D– Does not account for the present market value of the assets5 E; ] x+ o# K# V/ T
– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet- Y5 V, L/ S; a; c$ |
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business
9 r5 z, F0 R9 y S' r% R
6 i' W' W3 ^7 Y1 q0 ^8 b( F, r Economic Appraisal (EA), y+ X. {9 o! W+ E" d% ~
– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets
4 a" t5 e" f0 ^% r0 P! K' A3 b– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities4 R7 r# T) z- a2 W" h- }# P
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets
+ p+ n% R& X' I9 _. k/ p6 Z" f4 O# |& {$ T: S
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)
+ D2 l# W% R& C. {3 {( {& H9 A– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S4 R8 p* g( r, u2 ~$ X
• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.
2 U6 Q' v# f* t9 N7 ]+ T4 m– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
6 Z3 ?4 v9 d. d5 n' Y! @, E4 T' q– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)
7 N0 x, l3 S9 j# S L• Assuming changes (projected statement)
9 [' @: h( L3 D: N [4 y• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)
9 _" v. r8 N! M" p% q5 K; D5 [– Select a reasonable P/E multiple
# N( V( @; E5 C3 k8 A– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
$ M6 j0 l1 Q) B/ D; @: E, w6 H1 U. _9 w, Z# p
• P/E Multiple
, I4 J/ }* |* w" d" k$ O r– Rules of thumb;/ d, \( ^; e" E. B3 c9 B
• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
0 y- S7 |% N* z3 Ffrom 5 to 15.
" g J( u9 v2 B1 S3 a# ^, S* M• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.
7 _3 v$ |* _% C p• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”
9 W' J( z- G! k# \9 G4 n8 x– growth increases a multiple
8 E( U1 L3 R" ]- l0 k& i– risk decreases a multiple4 Q0 j0 }% ^) U4 J6 v! T
$ L" Z1 J: G& n& I, p
Their Associated Ratios/ }: a( ]" _6 ^& [
• Profitability;0 W% l6 f5 x5 I
– Business goal - to make $$- M- F- i7 \% u* |" z
– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales7 T- L" d' f9 C4 k8 p9 D
• Stability;
0 U9 R1 ~/ M; u; X– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)
: X) q, k e, A* A. N( A; w6 D; [– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts8 o# [0 A; o3 S3 s
' K8 r3 q5 R d4 K
5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios
) K7 B% ~+ |2 d0 ]8 T: a • Liquidity;
1 N( D! X" V* R– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations3 n, `7 R' r t; F
– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm2 e; y, p! `9 H7 M
obligations)0 i/ X$ d; @/ O8 ?
• Efficiency;
- ]0 W& a' N3 d– Business goal - to efficiently use assets0 C, S+ N5 k9 [
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments
; Q' w. a0 i* {0 Q4 x! @6 h3 @
+ }& u( F' C; k• Growth;
9 g) U6 k' ?( A– Business goal - to increase in size
( `9 p; R$ I0 ?) z– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth6 e7 I0 i6 `8 A* @4 j* o
1 j: \9 o' c. Q
Interpreting the Ratios$ f# c- L$ t+ d- t( a
• Profitability;
, f+ |1 W! o' m, Z) X0 ~& o– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)
/ r E/ P! L7 A) @) D" X/ s c+ LI/S items * 100 = % 3 k% B, }7 S0 k% a. y
Sales
0 b) @$ L9 s7 n) e# i• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales
, ~( @/ o, q! I8 y$ K8 p– Return on Investment/Equity3 c" B- P& J+ j6 P7 f9 ~
Profit ATB4D = %
4 [* I5 O$ ], I& e- S, EAverage Equity9 @. a- j+ `$ N; O( ?
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]
! Z' \& u6 F8 ~1 \7 N• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners; m- W% m, `4 G& j7 V, ?: y5 Z% y
6 ]1 X Y$ {2 _" j) ]' C• Stability;2 x, P: T: T$ I! L% ]* ~1 C6 t- Y
– Net Worth: Total Assets
8 S/ {9 D+ _& t: p U' pTotal Equity = %
2 v' k( B1 w, e/ z: ]4 K2 bTotal Assets2 i# Y3 R2 t) f, D
• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money
' F/ ~8 F% N5 A1 J– Debt to Assets, {3 s) U1 t* a$ j# \
Total Debt = %
( `- U8 _8 O& B2 `" [+ RTotal Assets/ p9 p& W9 G b& x8 S
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt
6 [6 `1 B, \9 \9 n– Interest Coverage" q7 ^, M' o3 R9 W% \& {. P8 ]
EBIT = # times
+ z/ |: c$ b# b8 q+ }Interest Expense
9 ?$ n; [' @- G' p) t• tells us how many times we can pay interest
% z. I7 W( I. }) \
, t& @' q% M: T) v( \• Liquidity;
- g: @8 R7 u& f u! V– Current Ratio
* ^7 S/ i1 s9 bCurrent Assets = X:1: E- ?6 Q# j; ^; M* M
Current Liabilities
; l' ]) ^/ M6 Q9 P2 k• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts% j0 w/ T; {( V+ u; W9 v
RULE OF THUMB: 2:1
5 M! c+ g9 S3 i% \$ u1 A– Acid Test
1 \1 H V: D( _) v: u, h9 |$ z. [8 ]Cash + M/S + A/R = X:1
- e, h ?& x2 ?' Y) z2 ]$ rCurrent Liabilities2 _8 ^7 p: F) ~, W- G6 P- |$ {
• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us
7 c6 ^4 A* B* sRULE OF THUMB: 1:1. f8 J0 U! L1 a+ I; B9 g
9 P& E/ Q0 F3 ?- o- q8 X- ?
– Working Capital
1 w# z* [8 N* p( t8 RC.A - C.L = $X
- y% ]7 J3 O) G; y! p• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid
2 T* z! O4 g" m! g6 d1 s4 b' V/ M8 I1 c
2 ^# U/ f* S6 d) s. z$ mEfficiency;
1 X# N! C5 _9 t2 @' F% ]+ B* N& l2 v) ^; {– Age of Receivables/ I i) K& V, z* D) q( W) [) C) E8 C
Accounts Receivabl = # Days
/ o: p1 }4 U+ E8 h (Sales / 365); T$ k5 j! G o$ A# A
• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$0 u: t, V! H- Q# F! Q/ c( W7 S! o: v
/ O0 E M9 ^( B4 d/ \$ q) Y, F! m
– Age Of Payables" }% U" g6 d8 L7 R
Accounts Payable = # Days3 o# L) m" p6 Y( X( f; S3 O
(Purchases* / 365)- @4 o: ^( s' P9 @
• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills. E; Z: b% w+ g X; i. s- {' `) ^
% n' o; n: j a- G" ^. F
– Age of Inventory
/ p- V$ C2 H: t$ ^ Inventory = # Days9 V3 F$ x7 ~6 i1 A( }
(COGS / 365)
0 F7 f: d- Y/ f; H& |/ g• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse4 E- ~6 X; z' r
8 x8 W& V- [' ^/ M$ X' j4 f• Growth;, U5 t; O9 y3 T5 F+ t, M9 w7 X. i* L
– Sales1 H- W X8 S, @5 X+ X! t
– Net Income
* b% n0 C' K! [8 ~– Total Assets, m! V9 D- y! L
– Equity4 z# J: X4 a# z0 k( [
Yr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %
- I4 u: h+ N% W9 c Yr. 12 ^" X( c4 x3 W" v5 F: u
• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
; I# V, j+ G9 f4 b/ x7 D8 o: w3 m4 |$ t" m& J- x
Understanding Ratios* n7 @7 X* F$ o
• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”: O2 c% [7 h6 h6 c
• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio. I9 n: x4 O; Q6 p+ l
• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”
$ T- q$ e* I$ R5 X6 g/ q– Which number caused the change?
# D( g, y7 C# \* |– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.' j$ t- J) B2 r/ l. m# P
– Will these trends continue?
' o# }$ W5 j" p9 B& l# L– How does the company compare to the industry?
' m* i# D% U, H9 P9 w# b& K7 P7 n4 {( v5 r$ e& K' k c
' I( t6 [; [6 o. T
Classifying Costs
' D' v3 u6 ~0 [; {. {& }" V• Variable Costs
, o' i1 @: M0 k' T– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume). a$ W4 U. M+ L. p+ ~ ]6 M/ i
• Fixed Costs8 P: \6 v- e3 _! n# S
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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