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虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。
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GM Overview
' W1 M. i5 W% h- i• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs
: \ T8 M2 `; ~& g• Objectives
, ]/ G% l* k3 S. s$ l– What do we “WANT” to do?* r, I* h7 _5 Z7 _. ?+ t
• External Analysis! G: i2 J3 ]8 E5 {2 n) v
– What do we “NEED” to do?
& u, p; X4 N% M. z* Y– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade
9 Y9 v, a& i/ ]8 z! F7 ~• opportunities & threats' F6 g8 r7 r+ |4 {
– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs
# k- K3 K8 J: e0 K' M+ I• Internal Analysis
+ s/ S" J! [- T6 Q$ v– What “CAN” we do?
6 R ]- r4 C, ?) j/ \: n, [5 W– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR
" m, o5 g4 V0 ?3 r• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
( i# j7 b1 `# r! Y. j5 \' }: F– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES K1 M+ J" U, a6 b! R9 h* c& |' e' E# q
& D+ f! |) q: f8 @' S: E
• Alternative Evaluation& c6 A. o/ v( Y2 m1 L" H3 [; t$ Y
– What are the options?
- `) J$ Y% M {4 u– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options
d J: V* I+ D9 S% z– How does this option “FIT”?' u& w* X1 o- G' s
– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed) q4 t p- u P! L2 l2 L$ Z& c
– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”)
+ F) x9 d- P# f- G! r$ O& T, ^ y: v) O, [& h) K
• Decision k+ e/ k& B; @# H- |7 U
– Justify why you chose a particular option(s)./ n, |* s1 h6 _% e8 Z$ d
– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING8 y+ }2 r' E( E+ c! K8 l2 u3 {. M
• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?) R2 f! ^& C8 ^% |' V7 Z9 C4 _8 P9 I
• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?' i. w$ o) m9 j
• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?
- j% g- R! b. K9 o) T0 x0 p. G [3 i• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS)
+ X. H6 r; x8 F2 {• Why NOT the other options?( X1 a8 |* z9 C$ p5 q" d0 V5 j
• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes
: N) L; V5 G1 ~- u; j4 eneed to be made?
" R: n4 s" t0 j- ?+ l5 Q+ E! e- J6 c0 n0 p
• Action Plan0 c1 K* u: d. e, P7 U% @
• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;/ h* g# ~$ e/ R2 M9 r: Z `3 a2 t4 ~
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your% y) b- u( ^: ?7 l2 J! d( c& ~1 b
decision
% v8 M& n5 O2 A0 i8 t) X5 F– details about timing% N" e# z! j, Z1 Z
– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’
: q! w5 n7 Z! F* k8 R1 h– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success)' H" z6 L Y" d( Q/ z7 U w
– make sure to consider both the short term and long term9 f% |+ _: Y w y3 r
/ D( x+ |; u8 O5 y9 H
Firm Valuation
- J% G6 a* |0 v, x o4 d. U• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.! S; f* Q- Q$ Y! ?8 z
• 3 methods of valuing a firm;
' j5 ]2 u3 i1 R; N– Net Book Value- c) w& ?" C! }
– Economic Appraisal
6 @* _8 F) i9 h, a- z3 i– Capitalization of Earnings A# n# C& [* j* [. ]5 l
• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the1 A( Z2 e/ M2 u2 w5 H7 u$ v" j
company is worth.4 _' l' l. u+ r! v. U) N
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay???
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- b/ @8 t* M( \2 t Net Book Value (NBV)
5 d1 L( ]; [5 L4 P% Z/ A: s– Total Assets - Total Liabilities5 u, Y2 k% d. U8 l; S9 G2 W- K
• a.k.a.. the equity6 }5 Q- {4 F) D9 Y; h4 B- b
– Does not account for the present market value of the assets. p7 [6 p- Q2 }
– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet0 K! ^9 _0 U& u. V" z+ c2 A5 C ]! o
– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business
5 M4 |. B+ F. t2 m
0 a/ {3 K4 M" @) @8 O+ P Economic Appraisal (EA); m2 A* n; V2 X v4 Q
– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets3 f2 r3 ^ n7 k& X O2 X: q- l, S
– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities' m- h2 \9 d; J# l9 r
– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets) n! {" p q; U2 @) j0 s5 [
0 z9 s0 ` x% ]: _ F. k
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)2 D- V2 G. T1 E9 a
– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S
# p% u- a" [- h; c; D- u; X% g* O• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.; c+ v3 Y; n4 i# v7 {; @! E0 z: h
– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
% v) C9 }% U; p6 z. ?5 m4 v: d& e$ K– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range)
0 n/ f3 t3 }1 f& R7 ~: ?• Assuming changes (projected statement): }7 U4 C+ Z5 ? k0 }
• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)! X9 F! n+ O1 _+ C4 I3 J1 j' `
– Select a reasonable P/E multiple% F! i9 N+ B, k
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)
1 h2 m. m$ ?! |4 x: E8 t8 d- q# {% n& ~8 s* B4 t# d. r% b& V# `+ w
• P/E Multiple* N0 s) l0 P" I( _) R
– Rules of thumb;, z/ X; X4 X6 k% d+ a- v3 H
• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples
) ^+ ?& j; G+ L3 {/ k3 \from 5 to 15.! m; E r) }. u% {( Q
• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20./ I; \% |3 X1 ]0 @
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”5 O$ l' n6 |- J! ~7 d
– growth increases a multiple
1 p( T/ S; X2 z; ]– risk decreases a multiple/ i) ?; S4 f! R
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Their Associated Ratios. H1 |4 l6 L0 h( D. C# ^2 i
• Profitability;
1 e7 |. n( u. Q( k– Business goal - to make $$1 i4 U( Q! |5 J% B2 n! s4 ]: b
– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales
7 t" n- `% }5 g! A• Stability;
; ^) y5 t* v# P– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)
`0 q( f, b3 s/ {, O– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts# ]+ b/ m- V+ |3 @
w; l# d0 U" I8 z3 H) w- S5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios- E+ m+ k2 y" [8 g0 O$ u$ a0 ?3 T
• Liquidity;5 y' L0 P: o% I( D2 m
– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations
5 W9 e) q# e, q' j( Q– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm
1 @3 R/ z& K& t: ]% Vobligations)
- ^3 n/ k, N6 M- { u• Efficiency;4 }' c8 i5 Z$ V# V/ H7 Q) C
– Business goal - to efficiently use assets
( f+ ?; g8 P# W, s% b2 I* Y2 j– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments
4 A* O* ]. h- M2 ]- A3 }
- m( j) j+ x, {3 J; O. ]; N1 s• Growth;
) F& @- v8 R# l& @- a– Business goal - to increase in size/ \, z: y( A, F: e* v- A9 _
– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth3 M8 K/ G! u& k& m$ ^2 E c
# f" v) P& R( i$ zInterpreting the Ratios. s) K( e5 K8 F6 ^" B
• Profitability;# |( I" Q2 w. a* l' B+ S+ C! O
– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)1 J- {! j0 U, u& ^( w- _( i
I/S items * 100 = % 1 N0 s1 Q9 d% [6 T
Sales! B+ |6 D. F, x; y. [7 x
• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales) x5 C7 K2 _7 l- Q4 @$ P( h- C
– Return on Investment/Equity9 ^- `) ^& @: t! I! m/ q* |
Profit ATB4D = % ( {$ r* R9 ?7 W0 r8 T4 y) G" A' {* k) j
Average Equity
3 E2 ^1 B A9 e1 v3 M) t[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]" L: e# y/ R7 y6 }: Z
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
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• Stability;* H1 p) Z" ]5 k
– Net Worth: Total Assets
+ ~+ x# I3 J2 Z- t- w6 R1 wTotal Equity = % 1 L, R3 {7 @. m+ z3 o
Total Assets5 Z/ M4 \0 B3 ]
• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money
2 A1 K1 D; v. h– Debt to Assets
0 B$ @8 V( n% o! d* A; s- ~Total Debt = %
5 i" {- C0 _9 p+ nTotal Assets: q" D |$ l( G* K W
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt
- L0 g- R5 v f- w– Interest Coverage' x! c6 c' R; j: M
EBIT = # times
; ~) U) H& }. |0 v/ _4 ^Interest Expense
; G, x( U. E/ C0 b5 L' @1 g+ |: b• tells us how many times we can pay interest$ e, ?& ^$ Y, {
6 A9 v0 ^6 v$ V" |, K• Liquidity;
5 A) s* o) b+ N/ L$ x0 R4 V– Current Ratio
, U# M# @) y+ I+ | t1 d8 _Current Assets = X:1
$ Q5 f1 {' ]# ^; ECurrent Liabilities
) N. Y) H5 o( ~, L; V, G8 `• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
# u8 k3 t# L L6 b2 |RULE OF THUMB: 2:1
* P# J1 ^5 o6 i– Acid Test0 a/ M. K9 H& U6 ?
Cash + M/S + A/R = X:1
7 n1 y6 {( {1 E0 vCurrent Liabilities1 M9 R4 O/ D) u+ J
• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us( e, ?2 e/ V! X/ B
RULE OF THUMB: 1:1
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– Working Capital
6 a$ h* N+ p2 X8 hC.A - C.L = $X6 A. M6 _6 n3 M* U0 A9 l# V) Y
• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid: c! ~. b6 a* Y. a7 E! X; y$ H
2 _. m8 K; W4 X( p( u% L$ o$ j6 @Efficiency;( k: C+ S B; x+ O, k/ s0 o
– Age of Receivables" J0 m! j; j+ E
Accounts Receivabl = # Days$ Q$ K! ?4 Z! M: G+ z* k
(Sales / 365)
; L v; F' E2 @2 c1 i. j5 t4 B• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$
0 \% c( ?$ y" F' |- B" N- q5 @4 l
, }" q6 Q) T# B1 K– Age Of Payables2 W( `1 Z" l7 V1 U$ o
Accounts Payable = # Days
& k# F3 b) [2 `/ D7 V/ J(Purchases* / 365)
9 v" \+ _3 O! Q% C• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills
" [0 g, Y, a, L+ n4 J" [! R( l0 f! d# b) _
– Age of Inventory
/ k8 p; K o/ F Inventory = # Days
, F. t8 U' m; Q/ h' f+ O( p(COGS / 365)9 W7 I5 ~% [; c! m: m+ Y
• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse0 f0 L0 e; }. F
' d, q) I$ S+ }• Growth;) K0 x$ X8 ~% h+ q# k2 P+ [% Y
– Sales; q4 U5 [$ y ]2 M( y
– Net Income3 b' X( C2 _0 q5 X. w( f5 @4 b/ U
– Total Assets
4 h0 R1 C+ h2 r% M: \– Equity1 k% A3 B: o4 v+ @
Yr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %: c6 e4 }/ ?; Q4 M* w" P6 w
Yr. 1( ~' d' G+ O' m8 C! ~$ o
• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)2 w M4 |) \% k2 l& g% W* E
/ [: o8 M7 a3 E! x2 W4 R
Understanding Ratios
. d* T' b8 Y9 L$ a4 F$ m• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”
# Y& h0 V2 ?9 n, d% i# H% B( R$ g• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio; e4 z5 Q7 U. o7 m" C. C9 h: N
• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”( z/ k. |7 B4 n* V( o6 | j
– Which number caused the change?5 e5 I: K4 s; E4 d: K8 Y
– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.
1 T) i8 k& W5 Z+ w3 f( h– Will these trends continue?2 u% w$ t( M8 B( J$ Z. X. J6 e! e
– How does the company compare to the industry?7 g" B2 E5 k& x$ N
# M% I+ f2 A' K% l+ w0 Z Y, r; J5 \; z3 ]5 V$ `, u" D) Y4 S
Classifying Costs& i# Y6 M" J- {) Z% U8 e
• Variable Costs/ e R2 _8 J+ T A$ Q3 ^
– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)2 y# a% L' m! B @7 Q
• Fixed Costs- m$ o5 ?8 i; T/ K& M
– cost that does not vary with volume |
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